Methodology

How Picktator turns a changing draft board into recommendations

Picktator is a decision-support tool. Its recommendations combine the selected board, league settings, roster construction and simulated availability. They are estimates, not guarantees.

Board and projection inputs

The selected rankings board provides market order. Where available, projection data is rescored using the league settings and is used for tier construction and value comparisons.

Roster-aware evaluation

Dedicated starter slots, flex seats, superflex demand, bench depth and late-round kicker or defense requirements affect how a player is evaluated.

Monte Carlo availability

Picktator runs repeated draft scenarios to estimate which players and tiers may survive. Opponent selections are influenced by roster needs, board position and controlled randomness.

VONA and tiers together

Tier recommendations use the complete VONA recommendation score as their strategic base, then add tier-survival and tier-drop context without double-counting raw positional value.

Limits

Draft behavior is uncertain, projections can be wrong, data feeds can change, and a small simulated sample cannot represent every league. Use the reasoning as an aid alongside your own player views.